AC Milan vs Napoli prediction and betting tips (September 18)
AC Milan and Napoli are levelled on the same points in the league standings. Both teams are in really good form ahead of their matchup. The winner of the match will take first place in the league.
In the league, Politano has two goal contributions.
In the league, Politano has two goal contributions.
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

AC Milan play Napoli in Round 7 of the 2022-23 Serie A season.

The match is scheduled to start at 6:45 p.m. GMT on Sunday, 18 September 2022. The match venue is Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.

Latest odds on betting sites

AC Milan to win odds are priced at 2.20 (+120 American; 6/5 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.50 (+250; 5/2), while Napoli to win odds are priced at 3.20 (+220; 11/5).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: AC Milan β€” 42%, draw β€” 28%, Napoli β€” 30%.

Latest betting odds on AC Milan vs Napoli (18 September 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals β€” 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 2.5 goals β€” 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, -0.5) on AC Milan β€” 1.94 (-106; 50/53)
  • Asian handicap (0.0, +0.5) on Napoli β€” 1.96 (-104; 25/26)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) β€” 1.71 (-140; 5/7)
  • Both teams to score (No) β€” 2.05 (+105; 21/20)

Match preview and statistics

AC Milan are unbeaten this season with five wins and three draws in eight matches across all competitions. They have the same points (14) as the table leaders in the league. In their last match, Milan beat Dinamo Zagreb 3-1.

Olivier Giroud opened the scoring in the 45th minute of the first half with a powerful shot into the bottom right corner from the penalty spot. Alexis Saelemaekers doubled the lead in the 47th minute of the second half with a header over the goalie into the back of the net. Rafael Leao assisted with the cross.

Mislav Orsic pulled one back for Zagreb in the 58th minute with a curling shot into the far bottom corner. Tommaso Pobega made it 3-1 in the 77th minute and surely secured the win with a shot into the net after hitting the bottom of the bar, assisted by Theo Hernandez.

Team statistics: 57% possession, 2.24 expected goals (xG), 17 total shots, three big chances, seven shots on target, 462 accurate passes, 10 fouls committed, four offsides, three corners and one yellow card.

They beat Sampdoria 2-1 in their last game in the league. Junior Messias and Olivier Giroud scored two goals for them.

AC Milan team news: Alessandro Florenzi, Ante Rebic, Divock Origi and Zlatan Ibrahimovic are sidelined due to injuries, while Rafael Leao is on a red card suspension.

Napoli are top of the league table with 14 points and a +9 goal difference. They have six wins and two draws in eight matches this season. The Blues are on a four-game winning streak.

They beat Rangers 3-nil in their last league match. After two misses from the penalty spot, Matteo Politano opened the scoring in the 68th minute with a penalty goal. He tucked his effort away into the bottom right corner.

Giacomo Raspadori doubled the lead in the 85th minute with a firing shot past McGregor into the bottom right corner. Assisted by Mathias Olivera, who played a nice one-two with Raspadori. Tanguy Ndombele got on the scoresheet in the added minutes as he made it 3-1. He received the ball in the centre of the box and drilled a shot into the middle.

Team statistics: 57% possession, 3.69 expected goals (xG), 25 total shots, five big chances, 10 shots on target, 384 accurate passes, 80% pass accuracy, 12 fouls committed, five corners and one yellow card.

Napoli beat Spezia 1-nil in their last league match. Raspadori scored the match winner in the 89th minute of the second half to secure the three points.

Napoli team news: Diego Demme, Hirving Lozano and Victor Osimhen are sidelined due to injuries.

AC Milan vs Napoli H2H

In the last five meetings, Milan have two wins, Napoli have two wins and a draw. The Rossoneri won 1-nil in the last meeting.

Lineups and key players

AC Milan projected starting lineup:

  • Mike Maignan
  • Alessandro Florenzi
  • Simon Kjaer
  • Fikayo Tomori
  • Theo Hernandez
  • Sandro Tonali
  • Ismael Bennacer
  • Tommaso Pobega
  • Alexis Saelemaekers
  • Brahim Diaz
  • Olivier Giroud

Olivier Giroud is the key player to watch out for. He is on form at the moment, with two goals in the last two matches. Giroud has three goals and an assist in six league appearances. The French forward should be able to get on the scoresheet.

Napoli projected starting lineup:

  • Alex Meret
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • Amir Rrahmani
  • Min-Jae Kim
  • Mario Rui
  • Stanislav Lobotka
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • Matteo Politano
  • Piotr Zielinski
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • Giovanni Simeone

Matteo Politano is the key player to watch out for. He had a top performance in their last match against Rangers, scoring the first goal of the night. In the league, Politano has two goal contributions. A good game is expected from him in the next match.

Prediction and betting tips

AC Milan and Napoli are in very good form ahead of their fixture. None of them have lost a single game since the start of the season, maintaining an unbeaten run. The Rossoneri have three wins in the last four games, while Gli Azzurri are on a four-game winning streak.

Looking at the h2h record, both teams have two wins in the last five meetings and a draw. Milan won the last meeting. The predictions for this match are under 2.5 goals, and DNB β€” AC Milan. They have totalled under 2.5 goals in each of the last three meetings. Milan have the home advantage in this tie.

Betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Draw No Bet β€” AC Milan

Odds: 1.57 (-175 American; 4/7 Fractional)

AC Milan β€” Napoli
Lost
Draw No Bet β€” AC Milan
1.57
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