Olympic basketball 2021: Spain vs Slovenia prediction and betting tips (August 1)
Regardless of the outcome, both qualify for the playoffs of the 2021 Olympic men's football tournament.
Luka Doncic (Slovenia) may put his side past Spain victoriuos
Luka Doncic (Slovenia) may put his side past Spain victoriuos
by Alex Weaver Alex Weaver

In their head-to-head match, Spain and Slovenia will decide who takes the first place in Group C.

The match Spain vs Slovenia will take place on August 1, 2021, starting at 09:20 a.m. GMT. The venue is Saitama Super Arena in Tokyo, Japan.

Latest odds on betting sites

Based on a streak of 7 consecutive wins, Slovenia was named the favorite of this match by the international betting sites. Aleksander Sekulic’s squad to top Group C is priced with the odds of 1.70 (-143 American; 7/10 American), which equals an approximate probability of 59%.

La Roja to beat their last rival in the group stage comes with the odds of 2.30 (+130; 13/10), with chances around 41%.

Below are the latest odds for the main Spain vs Slovenia betting markets.

Over/Under points total:

  • Over 176.5 points — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
  • Under 176.5 points — 2.00 (+100; evens)

Points spread:

  • Spain (+2.5) — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
  • Slovenia (-2.5) — 1.85 (-118; 17/20)

Match preview and stats

The Spain Olympic basketball team won two rounds in Group C already. Both these matches ended with a close score. La Roja’s rivals were Japan (88-77) and Argentina (81-71). Overall, Spain has already played 9 matches this year and won 8 of them

Spain was successful in the defence. They have made 59 defensive rebounds and 21 actions — 6 block shots and 15 interceptions. This is the main reason why their opponents score 74 points on average. Besides, they improved their accuracy, which increased to 52%.

La Roja have scored a total of under 86.5 points in 4 of their last 5 matches. Under 86.5 points total in the next match is priced with the odds of 1.90 (-111; 9/10).

The Slovenia Olympic basketball team won over Argentina (118-100) and Japan (116-81) at the 2021 Olympics main event. They performed equally well in the qualifiers, winning 4 matches and finishing unbeaten. In total, they remain undefeated for 7 matches in a row.

Aleksander Sekulic’s men are the most accurate roster at the current Olympics. Their accuracy is equal to 55.2%. Also, the Slovenia Olympic basketball team has a very fast playing style. They make more than 2 shots per minute on average. Those are the reasons why Slovenia has scored 117 ppg at the 2021 Games.

Slovenia has scored a total of over 96.5 points in 6 of its last 7 fixtures. The same outcome in the next fixture is priced with the odds of 3.35 (+235; 47/20).

Key players and lineups

Spain Olympic projected lineup:

  • Point guard: Ricky Rubio
  • Shooting guard: Alberto Abalbe
  • Small forward: Victor Claver
  • Power forward: Rudy Fernandez
  • Center: Marc Gasol

Ricky Rubio keeps being the chief playmaker for his national team. He averaged 23 points, 3.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists at the 2021 Olympics. He did not have a very successful season in the NBA, but he always shows high-level play for the national team.

Slovenia Olympic projected lineup:

  • Point guard: Aleksei Nikolic
  • Shooting guard: Klemen Prepelic
  • Small forward: Vlatko Cancar
  • Power forward: Luka Doncic
  • Center: Mike Tobey

Luka Doncic shined in the fixture against Japan, where he scored 25 points, made 7 assists and 7 rebounds, but the game against Argentina was incredible. He finished it with 48 points, 11 rebounds and 5 assists.

Betting tips and prediction

Both teams are equal in their skills and lineups. The previous 5 head-to-head meetings have ended with the following outcomes: Spain — 3 victories, Slovenia — 2 victories. This once again proves how equal in power these teams are. But it is easy to see that Slovenia is in a better condition now. These teams met 14 times, and only once we saw a total of over 176.5 points. All other fixtures ended with the opposite outcome. I think it is a sure bet here.

Betting prediction: Slovenia to win

Odds: 1.70 (-143 American; 7/10 American)

Betting prediction: Under 176.5 points

Odds: 1.90 (-111 American; 9/10 Fractional)

Basketball. Group C. Round 3
Spain — Slovenia
Under 176.5 points
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