Ajax will host Liverpool in Round 5 of the UEFA Champions League.
The match will start at 7 p.m. GMT on Wednesday, 26 October 2022. The match venue is Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
Latest odds on betting sites
Ajax have their winning odds placed at 4.10 (+310; 31/10 Fractional). Liverpool, on the other hand, have their winning odds placed at 1.65 (-154 American; 13/20 Fractional). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 4.20 (+320; 16/5).
The chances of the outcomes are as follows: Ajax — 24%, draw — 23%, Liverpool — 53%.
Latest betting odds on Ajax vs Liverpool (26 October 2022):
- Over 2.5 goals — 1.65 (-154; 13/20)
- Under 2.5 goals — 2.45 (+145; 29/20)
- Asian handicap (-0.25) on Ajax — 2.46 (+146; 73/50)
- Asian handicap (+0.25) on Liverpool — 1.54 (-185; 27/50)
- Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.60 (-167; 3/5)
- Both teams to score (No) — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)
Match preview and statistics
Ajax suffered a 2-4 defeat to Napoli in their last league game. Hirving Lozano opened the scoreline in the fourth minute with a nice header into the top-left corner. Giacomo Raspadori doubled their lead in the 16th minute with a nice finish into the top-left corner. Davy Klassen pulled one back in the 49th minute with a nice header into the bottom-left corner.
Napoli were awarded a penalty in the 62nd minute with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia converting it to make it 3-1. Ajax were also awarded a penalty with Steven Bergwijn making it 3-2. Victor Osimhen made it 4-2 in the 89th minute as Napoli won the game.
Ajax had 55% ball possession and completed 474 passes. They had 13 shots with three being on target. Ajax created three big chances in the game. They had an expected goal of 1.62 compared to Napoli’s expected goal of 3.24. Ajax are third in the group with three points. They have scored eight goals while conceding 12 goals with a difference of -4.
Ajax smashed RKC Waalwijk by four goals to one in their last league game. They are top of the table with 28 points. Ajax have scored 38 goals while conceding 10 goals with a difference of +28.
Ajax team news: Ahmetcan Kaplan is out with a knee injury.
Liverpool smashed Rangers by seven goals to one in their last Champions League game. Scott Arfield opened the scoreline in the 17th minute with a nice finish into the bottom corner. Roberto Firmino levelled the scoreline in the 24th minute with a nice finish from close range. The Brazilian international scored his second goal of the game as he slotted the ball into the net.
Darwin Nunez made it 3-1 in the 66th minute with a low shot into the net. Mohamed Salah scored his first goal of the game with a nice finish into the net. He scored his second goal of the game in the 80th minute as he slotted the ball into the net. Salah got his hat-trick in the 81st minute with a curling finish into the net. Elliott made it 7-1 as Liverpool secured all three points.
Liverpool had 57% ball possession and completed 436 passes. The Reds created five big chances. Liverpool had 20 shots with nine being on target. The Reds had an expected goal of 2.24 compared to the Ranger’s expected goal of 0.55. Liverpool are second in the group with nine points. They have scored 12 goals while conceding six goals with a difference of +6.
The Reds suffered a 0-1 defeat to Nottingham Forest in their last league game. Liverpool are seventh in the Premier League table with 16 points. The Reds have scored 22 goals in the league while conceding 13 goals with a goal difference of +9.
Liverpool team news: Jota is out with a thigh injury. Konate is out with a knee injury. Matip is a doubt with a groyne injury. Keita is out with a muscle injury. Joel Matip is out with a calf injury.
Ajax vs Liverpool H2H
Liverpool have won two of the last two games between both sides.
Liverpool got a 2-1 victory over Ajax in the home fixture.
Lineups and key players
Ajax projected starting lineup:
- Remko Pasveer
- Devyne Rensch
- Jorge Sanchez
- Calvin Bassey
- Daley Blind
- Davy Klaassen
- Steven Berghuis
- Mohammed Kudus
- Steven Bergwijn
- Dusan Tadic
- Lucas Ocampos
Notable subs: Jorge Sanchez
Mohammed Kudus has scored three goals in the Champions League, overperforming his expected goals of 1.50. Kudus provided one assist while creating three chances.
Liverpool projected starting lineup:
- Alisson Becker
- Trent Alexander-Arnold
- Joseph Gomez
- Virgil van Dijk
- Andrew Robertson
- James Milner
- Harvey Elliott
- Luis Diaz
- Roberto Firmino
- Mohamed Salah
Notable subs: Tyler Morton, Diogo Jota, Divock Origi, Ibrahima Konate.
Mohamed Salah scored a hattrick in their 7-1 win over the Rangers. The Egyptian international has scored five goals in the Champions League, overperforming his expected goals of 2.23.
Prediction and betting tips
Ajax have won two of their last two games in all competitions scoring 11 goals while conceding two goals. Liverpool smashed Rangers by seven goals to one in their last Champions League game but suffered a 0-1 defeat to Nottingham first in their last league game. Ajax need a win to keep hopes of qualifying for the knockout stages alive. I predict no bet on Ajax.
Ajax have scored a goal in five of their last five games in all competitions. Liverpool have scored a goal in four of their last five games. Both teams are very dangerous in front of the goal. Ajax have scored 38 goals in the league while Liverpool have scored 22 goals in the league. I predict both teams will score.
Betting prediction: Draw no bet on Ajax
Odds: 4.00 (+300 American; 3/1 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.60 (-167 American; 3/5 Fractional)