UCL 2022-23: Sevilla vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and betting tips (October 5)
Sevilla are still searching for their first win in this UCL campaign. They are not at their best, likewise their opponent, Dortmund. The Rojiblancos hope to get a win at home.
Rafa Mir is yet to score a goal in any competition for the team this season
Rafa Mir is yet to score a goal in any competition for the team this season
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Sevilla play Borussia Dortmund in Round 3 of the 2022-23 Champions League group stage matches.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Wednesday, 5 October 2022. The match venue is Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Sevilla, Spain.

Latest odds on betting sites

Sevilla to win odds are priced at 2.60 (+160 American; 8/5 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.40 (+240; 12/5), while Borussia Dortmund to win odds are priced at 2.50 (+150; 3/2).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Sevilla — 38%, draw — 22%, Borussia Dortmund — 40%.

Latest betting odds on Sevilla vs Borussia Dortmund (5 October 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; evens)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on Sevilla — 2.08 (+108; 27/25)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on Borussia Dortmund — 1.83 (-120; 5/6)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.61 (-164; 25/41)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)

Match preview and statistics

Sevilla have not won in three matches, with two draws and a loss. To cap it, they have only one win in the last nine matches. The Rojiblancos lost 0-2 to Atletico Madrid in their last match.

Marcos Llorente and Alvaro Morata were the goal scorers for the Madrid team. In the UCL, Sevilla are last in the table with one point and a -4 goal difference from a win and a draw. Their form is poor, they haven’t scored a goal in this season’s campaign. Lost 0-4 to Man City in the Round 1 fixture and drew 0-0 against FC Kobenhavn in Round 2.

Sevilla team news: Jesus Corona, Karim Rekik and Marcao are sidelined due to injuries.

Borussia Dortmund have two wins and three losses in their last five games. They lost 2-3 to FC Koln in their last match.

They took the lead in the 31st minute. Julian Brant scored with a shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Jude Bellingham with the assisted. Florian Kainz pulled one back for Koln in the 53rd minute with a right footed shot, following the cross from Linton Maina.

Steffen Tigges made it 1-2 in the 56th minute with a header from the right side of the box to the roof of the net following the corner from Kainz. In the 70th minute, BvB went down again as Ljubicic extended Koln’s lead. An own goal from Benno Schmitz made it 2-3 in the 78th minute.

Team statistics: 58% possession, 2.59 expected goals, 22 total shots, five big chances, eight shots on target, 396 accurate passes, 84% pass accuracy, nine fouls committed, three offsides, 11 corners and three yellow cards.

Dortmund are second in the UCL table with three points and a+2 goal difference from a win and a draw in two games. They beat Kobenhavn 3-0 in the Round 1 fixture. Marco Reus, Raphael Guerreiro and Jude Bellingham were the goal scorers in the tie. The Black and Yellows lost 1-2 to Man City in the Round two game. Bellingham scored their goal in the match.

Borussia Dortmund team news: Giovanni Reyna, Gregor Kobel, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Mahmoud Dahoud, Marco Reus, Marius Wolf, Mateu Morey, Mats Hummels and Sebastien Haller are sidelined due to injuries.

Sevilla vs Borussia Dortmund H2H

Both teams have met four times. They have two draws, and each party has a win. Sevilla and Dortmund drew 2-2 in their last meeting.

Lineups and key players

Sevilla projected starting lineup:

  • Yassine Bounou
  • Tanguy Nianzou
  • Karim Rekik
  • Jose Angel Carmona
  • Jesus Navas
  • Joan Jordan
  • Thomas Delaney
  • Youssef En Nesyri
  • Rafa Mir
  • Isco
  • Alejandro Gomez

Rafa Mir is the key player to watch out for. He is yet to score a goal in any competition for the team this season. The attacker has to pick up and start scoring to help the team get better results. Mir is expected to be able to net a goal.

Borussia Dortmund projected starting lineup:

  • Alexander Meyer
  • Thomas Meunier
  • Nico Schlotterbeck
  • Niklas Sule
  • Raphael Guerreiro
  • Jude Bellingham
  • Salih Ozcan
  • Julian Brandt
  • Karim Adeyemi
  • Donyell Malen
  • Anthony Modeste

Jude Bellingham is the key player to watch out for. He provided an assist in their last game. In the UCL, Bellingham has two goals in two games for BVB. Currently, the midfielder is one of the team’s best players. Probably the major player you can bet on to have goal involvements.

Prediction and betting tips

Both teams are in poor form ahead of their fixture. Sevilla have not had it right since the start of the season. In the UCL, they have failed to score a goal, talkless of winning. The Yellows have lost three of their last five games. The last game they played ahead of this match was lost.

From the h2h record, each team has beaten each other once and drawn twice. They drew 2-2 in the last meeting. Predictions for this match are HT/FT — draw/Sevilla and over 3.5 goals. In the past three h2h matches, both teams have scored at least four goals. The Rojiblancos are playing at home. The pressure is on them to bounce back with a win.

Betting prediction: HT/FT — X/1

Odds: 6.50 (+550 American; 11/2 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 3.5 goals

Odds: 3.00 (+200 American; 2/1 Fractional)

FootballUEFA Champions League. Group stage. Round 3
Sevilla — Borussia Dortmund
HT/FT — X/1
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