World Cup 2022 qualifiers: Mexico vs USA prediction and betting tips (March 24)
Mexico have good feeling for the upcoming home game against the USA. El Tri can take the second spot if they manage to beat the Yanks. A draw looks like the most feasible outcome for both sides.
Christian Pulisic (USA) scored the 3rd goal in the win against Honduras
Christian Pulisic (USA) scored the 3rd goal in the win against Honduras

Mexico and USA lock horns in Round 12 of the 2022 FIFA World Cup qualifier.

The match is scheduled to start at 10:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, 24 March 2022. The game time by GMT is 2:00 a.m. on Friday, March 25. The match venue is Aztec Stadium, Mexico City, Mexico.

Latest odds on betting sites

Mexico to win odds are priced at 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.30 (+230; 23/10), while the USA to win odds are priced at 4.30 (+330; 33/10).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Mexico — 50%, draw — 30%, USA — 20%.

Latest betting odds on Mexico vs USA (24 March 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 2.35 (+135; 27/20)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 1.57 (-175; 4/7)
  • Asian handicap (-0.5) on Mexico — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Asian handicap (+0.5) on USA — 1.95 (-105; 20/21)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 1.66 (-150; 2/3)

Match preview and statistics

Mexico are third in the table with 21 points and a +6 goal difference. They have two wins, two draws and a loss in their last five games. El Tri beat Panama 1-0 in their last game.

Raul Jimenez converted the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom right corner in the 80th minute of the second half. Team statistics: 54% possession, 14 total shots, one big chance, 273 accurate passes, 77% pass accuracy, two shots on target, 11 fouls, eight corners, one yellow card.

Mexico team news: Jonathan Orozco, Nestor Araujo, Rogelio Funes Mori, Andres Guardado and Rodolfo Pizarro are sidelined due to injuries.

The USA have three wins, a draw and a loss in their previous five matches. They sit in second place in the qualifiers table with 21 points and a +9 goal difference. The Stars and Stripes beat Honduras 3-nil in the last match.

Weston McKennie opened the scoring in the eighth minute with a header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner, assisted by Kellyn Acosta with a cross following a set piece. Walker Zimmerman doubled the lead in the 36th minute with a right footed shot from very close range to the bottom right corner following a set piece.

Christian Pulisic made it 3-0 in the 66th minute with a right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner, assisted by Walker Zimmerman following a corner. Top stats: 73% possession, 16 total shots, eight shots on target, two big chances, 415 accurate passes, 86% pass accuracy, 15 fouls, one offside, eight corners, one yellow card.

USA team news: Weston McKennie, Chris Richards, Sergino Dest, Matt Turner, Brenden Aaronson and Gio Reyna are ruled out for this match due to injuries.

Mexico vs USA H2H

The USA have won the previous three matches against Mexico. The Yanks won 2-0 over El Tri in the last meeting.

Lineups and key players

Mexico projected starting lineup:

  • Guillermo Ochoa
  • Julian Araujo
  • Cesar Montes
  • Hector Moreno
  • Jesus Gallardo
  • Hector Herrera
  • Luis Romo
  • Edson Alvarez
  • Jesus Corona
  • Raul Jimenez
  • Hirving Lozano

Raul Jimenez is the key player to watch out for. He scored the match winner in their last game against Panama in the qualifiers. Jimenez has 29 goals for Mexico and looks forward to adding more to it.

USA projected starting lineup:

  • Zack Steffen
  • Reggie Cannon
  • Walker Zimmerman
  • Miles Robinson
  • Antonee Robinson
  • Yunus Musah
  • Tyler Adams
  • Jesus Ferreira
  • Timothy Weah
  • Ricardo Pepi
  • Christian Pulisic

Christian Pulisic is the key player to watch out for. In their last match in the qualifiers, he scored the third goal in the win against Honduras. At club level, he scored in Chelsea’s UCL tie against Lille. Pulisic should be a game changer for the Yanks.

Prediction and betting tips

Mexico are in good form going into this clash, unbeaten in four games with two wins and two draws. The USA, on the other hand, are not in poor form either, only one loss in their last five games with three wins and a draw.

The Mexicans seem to be the better side with no major changes in their team. The Americans will be without three key players in this match, Mckennie, Sergino Dest and Reyna. This will affect the team structure which is why the El Tri are the odds favourite.

Looking at their recent h2h, the Stars and Stripes have won each of the last three meetings between both teams. Going back to the home record of Mexico against the USA, two wins and two draws against their rivals in the last four home meetings. They won 1-0 in their last home game against them.

Predictions for this match are a draw, and under 2.5 goals. Both teams can match each other in this match and given the circumstances. Mexico have the home advantage, the chances of the USA getting the win are very low. The highest number of goals expected is two or just one. Their last two meetings have ended with under 2.5 goals.

Betting prediction: A draw

Odds: 3.30 (+230 American; 23/10 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.57 (-175 American; 4/7 Fractional)

FootballFIFA World Cup 2022. CONCACAF qualifiers. Round 12
Mexico — USA
Under 2.5 goals
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